Tarouba, Trinidad weather forecast: Day-by-Day rain chances for West Indies vs Pakistan 1st Test 2026

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KEY TAKEAWAYS: 

  • West Indies host Pakistan in first Test at Tarouba from July 25.
  • Babar Azam returns as captain after Shan Masood's removal.
  • Rain forecast likely to disrupt multiple days of play.

Weather set to play spoiler in Tarouba Test opener betwen West Indies vs Pakistan

Pakistan and West Indies get their two-match Test series underway on Saturday, July 25, 2026, at the Brian Lara Cricket Academy in Tarouba, Trinidad, though the forecast suggests weather could play as big a role as either team's bowlers over the coming days.

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The hosts arrive in good spirits following a solid Test win over Sri Lanka at home, a series that also produced a double-century from Amir Jangoo. 

On paper, the quality of West Indies' batting line-up isn't too far removed from Pakistan's, and with Jomel Warrican and Roston Chase both available, the hosts should be well equipped to match Pakistan in the spin department, particularly if conditions in Tarouba favour turn.

For Pakistan, the bigger story heading into this series revolves around fresh changes at the top. Shan Masood's 30-month spell as captain has come to an end, with Babar Azam reclaiming the role he was previously stripped of.

Whether this leadership switch translates into any real improvement remains uncertain, especially given that much of Pakistan's core Test squad has stayed largely unchanged throughout this extended rough patch, raising questions about whether familiar personnel will simply produce familiar results.

MORE: Robin Uthappa blames Babar Azam's lack of Virat Kohli-like mental resilience for batting slump amid 'abuse and disrespect'

WI vs PAK 1st Test: Weather forecast, day-by-day rain chances at Trinidad

Day 1 (Saturday, July 25): Expect rain through the day alongside heavy cloud cover and humidity sitting around 83 percent, conditions likely to disrupt the opening day's proceedings.

Chance of rain: High (80%)

Day 2 (Sunday, July 26): A marked improvement is on the cards, with clear skies expected for most of the day, temperatures reaching 33°C, and very little threat of rainfall.

Chance of rain: Low (15%)

Day 3 (Monday, July 27): Scattered thunderstorms return to the forecast, with humidity near 74 percent and easterly winds around 7 mph likely to interrupt play at points during the day.

Chance of rain: High (60%)

Day 4 (Tuesday, July 28): Storms might interrupt play again with the mercury topping out around 29°C. Expect the outfield to turn soggy again, and more stoppages look almost inevitable.

Chance of rain: Moderate to High (55%)

Day 5 (Wednesday, July 29): Scattered showers should return on the closing day, with temperatures climbing back up to 32°C. The good news is that rain isn't expected to linger as long as it has on previous days.

Chance of rain: Moderate (35%)

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DayDateConditionsHigh TempChance of RainDay 1July 25 (Saturday)Rain, heavy cloud cover, high humidity (83%)-High (80%)Day 2July 26 (Sunday)Sunny skies, minimal rain risk33°CLow (15%)Day 3July 27 (Monday)Scattered thunderstorms, humidity 74%, easterly winds-High (60%)Day 4July 28 (Tuesday)Heavy thunderstorms, wet conditions expected29°CModerate to High (55%)Day 5July 29 (Wednesday)Scattered thunderstorms, reduced delay risk32°CModerate (35%)

Why could weather shape this contest as much as form?

Rain hovering over three out of five days puts this Test at genuine risk of turning into a shortened affair, and that changes the calculus entirely.

Whichever side can shake off the rust fastest after each stoppage and read a pitch that keeps shifting under damp conditions stands to gain the upper hand, regardless of how the two teams actually compare on paper.

A Test squeezed for time tends to favour boldness over grinding it out session by session. That dynamic could end up suiting Pakistan more than West Indies, given how badly Babar Azam's side needs a result to justify this fresh start under his leadership.

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Whereas the hosts might have preferred a full five days to fully capitalise on home advantage and depth built through their recent series win.

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